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Red51
283022.4
389115.6
167518.4
Blue63
9327.4
10918.6
219427.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4358020801001205163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2830
#24
22.41.1
17.718.8
Auto9.8
Teleop10.6
End2.0
blue by 5.4
2194
#13
27.80.0
16.816.8
Auto9.5
Teleop16.2
End2.1
Second
1675
#28
18.41.1
11.612.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.3
End0.4
blue by 8.9
93
#2
27.40.0
24.524.5
Auto4.9
Teleop19.9
End2.6
Third
3891
#22
15.61.1
11.812.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End1.1
red by 7.0
1091
#23
8.60.0
9.79.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed