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Red67
206221.3
363024.8
880211.7
Blue71
884711.1
9327.4
125916.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6851204060801001206771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.8
25.724.9
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End0.5
blue by 2.5
93
#2
27.41.7
24.526.2
Auto4.9
Teleop19.9
End2.6
Second
2062
#19
21.30.5
21.921.4
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End1.5
red by 4.7
1259
#17
16.62.5
13.516.1
Auto4.5
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Third
8802
#50
11.70.8
11.710.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
red by 0.6
8847
#32
11.12.5
10.212.7
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned