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Red42
802911.8
953523.8
235810.5
Blue69
283022.4
179216.5
638122.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377202060801001204269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.0
13.113.1
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 1.4
22.50.5
22.422.9
Auto5.9
Teleop14.5
End2.0
Second
8029
#45
11.80.0
11.511.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End-0.1
blue by 10.6
2830
#24
22.40.9
18.819.7
Auto9.8
Teleop10.6
End2.0
Third
2358
#44
10.50.0
12.812.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End0.3
blue by 5.9
1792
#30
16.50.5
20.020.5
Auto7.0
Teleop8.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed