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Red63
514813.6
657413.6
173231.0
Blue54
220218.7
250616.6
47878.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6039020801006354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.4
28.028.4
Auto8.8
Teleop19.8
End2.4
red by 12.3
2202
#25
18.71.0
16.217.2
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Second
5148
#21
13.60.7
14.114.8
Auto7.5
Teleop5.4
End0.7
blue by 3.0
2506
#42
16.61.0
15.216.2
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End2.1
Third
6574
#16
13.60.4
9.810.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8
red by 5.0
4787
#53
8.51.0
6.47.4
Auto4.6
Teleop2.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned