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Red54
66435.1
373414.2
622323.5
Blue37
50962.8
884711.1
222012.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393202060801005437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.6
14.415.0
Auto11.2
Teleop9.8
End2.5
red by 11.5
2220
#48
12.00.3
10.410.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Second
3734
#20
14.20.6
12.012.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End1.5
red by 3.1
8847
#32
11.10.3
12.712.4
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End2.0
Third
6643
#49
5.10.6
8.08.6
Auto5.1
Teleop-0.7
End0.7
red by 2.4
5096
#51
2.80.3
6.76.3
Auto0.9
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed