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Red49
179216.5
319721.4
880211.7
Blue60
97608.0
93024.0
874425.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595201001502004960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#18
21.40.4
21.220.8
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End2.7
blue by 4.0
8744
#11
25.40.8
19.720.4
Auto11.4
Teleop13.0
End1.0
Second
1792
#30
16.50.4
20.520.1
Auto7.0
Teleop8.4
End1.1
blue by 7.6
930
#7
24.00.5
22.923.4
Auto9.3
Teleop13.6
End1.1
Third
8802
#50
11.70.6
10.910.3
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
red by 3.7
9760
#38
8.00.8
5.46.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed