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Red41
853110.9
338111.5
682311.1
Blue37
35969.8
167518.4
47878.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34360102040506070804137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3381
#10
11.50.9
9.610.5
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End1.1
blue by 6.9
1675
#28
18.40.6
12.111.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.3
End0.4
Second
11.10.6
10.310.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End0.8
red by 1.2
3596
#40
9.80.6
13.012.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Third
8531
#43
10.90.9
10.811.7
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End0.6
red by 2.4
4787
#53
8.50.6
7.46.8
Auto4.6
Teleop2.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned