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Red30
809616.9
222012.0
47878.5
Blue51
682311.1
178126.7
10918.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31490204060801003051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8096
#34
16.90.0
13.913.9
Auto9.8
Teleop4.9
End2.2
blue by 9.8
1781
#14
26.70.5
24.525.0
Auto7.3
Teleop16.8
End2.6
Second
2220
#48
12.00.0
9.29.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End1.4
red by 0.9
11.10.5
10.911.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End0.8
Third
4787
#53
8.50.0
6.86.8
Auto4.6
Teleop2.0
End1.9
blue by 0.1
1091
#23
8.60.8
6.67.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed