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Red25
35969.8
853110.9
478618.8
Blue45
790012.5
514813.6
219427.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485530406070802545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#15
18.81.6
20.418.7
Auto7.2
Teleop10.9
End0.7
blue by 9.0
2194
#13
27.80.7
20.720.1
Auto9.5
Teleop16.2
End2.1
Second
8531
#43
10.92.7
11.79.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End0.6
blue by 2.7
5148
#21
13.60.7
14.914.3
Auto7.5
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Third
3596
#40
9.82.7
12.49.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 2.7
7900
#35
12.50.7
13.312.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed