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Red28
50962.8
802911.8
283022.4
Blue40
319721.4
884711.1
94259.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32520204060801002840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2830
#24
22.40.4
16.916.5
Auto9.8
Teleop10.6
End2.0
red by 1.0
3197
#18
21.40.3
21.821.5
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End2.7
Second
8029
#45
11.80.4
10.510.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End-0.1
red by 0.7
8847
#32
11.10.5
12.612.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End2.0
Third
5096
#51
2.80.4
3.83.4
Auto0.9
Teleop1.3
End0.5
blue by 7.1
9425
#39
9.80.5
10.19.6
Auto5.9
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed