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Red28
36927.4
46457.4
363024.8
Blue60
167518.4
373414.2
338111.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433702060801002860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.81.2
21.820.6
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End0.5
red by 6.4
1675
#28
18.42.8
11.514.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.3
End0.4
Second
4645
#54
7.41.2
8.97.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.2
blue by 6.8
3734
#20
14.22.8
12.715.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End1.5
Third
3692
#46
7.41.2
7.76.5
Auto3.8
Teleop2.9
End0.7
blue by 4.1
3381
#10
11.52.8
10.513.3
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed