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Red47
622323.5
453120.0
97608.0
Blue32
657413.6
235810.5
53712.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413601020305060704732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.51.2
15.016.2
Auto11.2
Teleop9.8
End2.5
red by 9.9
6574
#16
13.60.1
10.410.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8
Second
4531
#27
20.01.2
15.817.0
Auto9.3
Teleop7.7
End3.0
red by 8.0
537
#47
12.00.1
11.111.0
Auto1.6
Teleop9.4
End1.0
Third
9760
#38
8.01.2
5.76.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End0.2
blue by 2.5
2358
#44
10.50.1
11.811.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed