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Red53
179216.5
642121.3
266715.8
Blue47
125916.6
967613.0
250616.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634602040801001205347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#12
21.30.2
21.521.4
Auto8.4
Teleop11.7
End1.3
red by 4.7
1259
#17
16.60.8
14.113.3
Auto4.5
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Second
1792
#30
16.50.2
18.418.3
Auto7.0
Teleop8.4
End1.1
blue by 0.1
2506
#42
16.60.8
17.717.0
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End2.1
Third
2667
#31
15.80.3
15.415.1
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End1.6
red by 2.8
9676
#29
13.00.8
12.111.3
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned