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Red36
638122.5
178126.7
319721.4
Blue59
173231.0
682311.1
478618.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8263020401001201403659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#14
26.72.4
25.022.6
Auto7.3
Teleop16.8
End2.6
blue by 4.3
31.00.7
29.528.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.8
End2.4
Second
22.52.4
25.523.1
Auto5.9
Teleop14.5
End2.0
red by 3.6
4786
#15
18.80.7
18.718.0
Auto7.2
Teleop10.9
End0.7
Third
3197
#18
21.42.4
21.519.1
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End2.7
red by 10.3
11.10.7
11.310.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned