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Red39
338111.5
710318.4
235810.5
Blue55
657413.6
9327.4
97608.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465001001502002503003503955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7103
#26
18.41.4
17.315.9
Auto8.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4
blue by 9.0
93
#2
27.40.2
27.828.0
Auto4.9
Teleop19.9
End2.6
Second
3381
#10
11.51.4
13.311.9
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End1.1
blue by 2.1
6574
#16
13.60.2
10.310.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8
Third
2358
#44
10.51.4
11.710.3
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End0.3
red by 2.5
9760
#38
8.00.3
6.97.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed