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Red49
953523.8
53712.0
7067.9
Blue39
250616.6
373414.2
36927.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434325303540505560654939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.5
18.318.9
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 7.3
2506
#42
16.60.0
17.017.0
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End2.1
Second
537
#47
12.00.5
11.011.5
Auto1.6
Teleop9.4
End1.0
blue by 2.2
3734
#20
14.20.0
15.515.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End1.5
Third
706
#36
7.90.5
9.510.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End0.4
red by 0.5
3692
#46
7.40.0
6.56.5
Auto3.8
Teleop2.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed