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Red38
790012.5
50962.8
642121.3
Blue58
179216.5
171429.3
453120.0
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377302060801001203858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#12
21.30.0
21.421.4
Auto8.4
Teleop11.7
End1.3
blue by 8.0
29.30.2
26.426.2
Auto10.1
Teleop17.8
End1.4
Second
7900
#35
12.50.1
12.712.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
blue by 7.4
4531
#27
20.00.4
17.016.6
Auto9.3
Teleop7.7
End3.0
Third
5096
#51
2.80.1
3.43.5
Auto0.9
Teleop1.3
End0.5
blue by 13.7
1792
#30
16.50.2
18.318.0
Auto7.0
Teleop8.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed