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Red49
967613.0
266715.8
389115.6
Blue53
802911.8
622323.5
167518.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444535405055604953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2667
#31
15.80.9
15.116.0
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End1.6
blue by 7.7
23.51.1
16.217.2
Auto11.2
Teleop9.8
End2.5
Second
3891
#22
15.60.9
13.814.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End1.1
blue by 2.8
1675
#28
18.41.1
14.315.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.3
End0.4
Third
9676
#29
13.00.9
11.312.3
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End1.6
red by 1.1
8029
#45
11.81.1
10.211.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed