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Red58
853110.9
125916.6
219427.8
Blue72
363024.8
222012.0
220218.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4650102030406070805872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#13
27.81.6
20.121.7
Auto9.5
Teleop16.2
End2.1
red by 3.0
24.81.8
20.622.4
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End0.5
Second
1259
#17
16.61.6
13.314.9
Auto4.5
Teleop10.6
End1.5
blue by 2.1
2202
#25
18.71.8
14.716.5
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Third
8531
#43
10.91.6
9.010.6
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End0.6
blue by 1.1
2220
#48
12.01.8
9.211.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed