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Red41
7067.9
338111.5
9327.4
Blue31
50962.8
250616.6
179216.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5740020801004131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#2
27.40.6
28.027.4
Auto4.9
Teleop19.9
End2.6
red by 10.8
2506
#42
16.60.7
17.016.3
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End2.1
Second
3381
#10
11.50.9
11.911.1
Auto1.5
Teleop8.9
End1.1
blue by 5.0
1792
#30
16.50.5
18.017.5
Auto7.0
Teleop8.4
End1.1
Third
706
#36
7.90.9
10.09.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End0.4
red by 5.1
5096
#51
2.80.7
3.52.8
Auto0.9
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed