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Red58
642121.3
874425.4
167518.4
Blue81
171429.3
802911.8
178126.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666540506070805881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8744
#11
25.40.0
21.721.6
Auto11.4
Teleop13.0
End1.0
blue by 4.0
29.31.4
26.227.6
Auto10.1
Teleop17.8
End1.4
Second
6421
#12
21.30.0
21.421.4
Auto8.4
Teleop11.7
End1.3
blue by 5.4
1781
#14
26.71.4
22.624.0
Auto7.3
Teleop16.8
End2.6
Third
1675
#28
18.40.0
15.415.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.3
End0.4
red by 6.6
8029
#45
11.82.0
11.213.3
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed