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Red40
36927.4
880211.7
266715.8
Blue66
853110.9
657413.6
220218.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354201001504066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2667
#31
15.80.2
16.016.2
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End1.6
blue by 2.9
2202
#25
18.71.6
16.518.1
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Second
8802
#50
11.70.2
10.210.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
blue by 1.8
6574
#16
13.61.1
10.511.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8
Third
3692
#46
7.40.2
6.56.8
Auto3.8
Teleop2.9
End0.7
blue by 3.5
8531
#43
10.91.6
10.612.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed