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Red55
373414.2
790012.5
363024.8
Blue47
967613.0
66435.1
558612.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions612602040801001205547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.1
22.422.4
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End0.5
red by 11.9
9676
#29
13.00.7
12.313.0
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End1.6
Second
3734
#20
14.20.1
15.515.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End1.5
red by 2.1
5586
#37
12.10.7
11.612.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End0.6
Third
7900
#35
12.50.1
12.712.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
red by 7.4
6643
#49
5.10.8
3.64.4
Auto5.1
Teleop-0.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned