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Red36
790012.5
657413.6
870112.9
Blue35
20778.5
389115.6
373414.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404602060801001203635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6574
#16
13.60.1
11.611.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8
blue by 2.1
3891
#22
15.61.4
15.914.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End1.1
Second
8701
#41
12.90.1
13.012.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.8
End1.8
blue by 1.3
3734
#20
14.21.4
15.414.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End1.5
Third
7900
#35
12.50.1
12.712.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
red by 4.0
2077
#52
8.51.4
9.98.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed