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Red46
222012.0
219427.8
235810.5
Blue54
173231.0
130612.4
266715.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52670204060801001201404654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#13
27.80.2
25.525.3
Auto9.5
Teleop16.2
End2.1
blue by 3.2
31.00.3
29.729.4
Auto8.8
Teleop19.8
End2.4
Second
2220
#48
12.00.2
12.212.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End1.4
blue by 3.8
2667
#31
15.80.4
16.215.8
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End1.6
Third
2358
#44
10.50.2
10.810.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End0.3
blue by 1.9
1306
#33
12.40.4
12.812.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed