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Red113
283022.4
874425.4
171429.3
Blue89
657413.6
219427.8
953523.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846820406010012014011389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.9
28.429.2
Auto10.1
Teleop17.8
End1.4
red by 1.5
2194
#13
27.80.7
27.127.8
Auto9.5
Teleop16.2
End2.1
Second
8744
#11
25.41.1
24.125.2
Auto11.4
Teleop13.0
End1.0
red by 1.5
23.80.7
23.123.8
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End2.2
Third
2830
#24
22.41.1
21.222.3
Auto9.8
Teleop10.6
End2.0
red by 8.9
6574
#16
13.60.6
13.013.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8