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Red41
178126.7
682311.1
125916.6
Blue64
657413.6
219427.8
953523.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606702040801001204164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#14
26.70.3
27.026.7
Auto7.3
Teleop16.8
End2.6
blue by 1.1
2194
#13
27.80.1
26.026.1
Auto9.5
Teleop16.2
End2.1
Second
1259
#17
16.60.4
17.016.6
Auto4.5
Teleop10.6
End1.5
blue by 7.2
23.80.1
22.022.1
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End2.2
Third
11.10.3
11.411.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End0.8
blue by 2.5
6574
#16
13.60.1
12.112.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8