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Red81
363024.8
389115.6
622323.5
Blue86
173231.0
478618.8
93024.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68790501001508186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.4
24.424.8
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End0.5
blue by 6.2
31.00.2
29.830.0
Auto8.8
Teleop19.8
End2.4
Second
23.50.4
23.023.4
Auto11.2
Teleop9.8
End2.5
blue by 0.5
930
#7
24.00.2
22.723.0
Auto9.3
Teleop13.6
End1.1
Third
3891
#22
15.60.4
15.215.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End1.1
blue by 3.2
4786
#15
18.80.2
17.617.8
Auto7.2
Teleop10.9
End0.7