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Red40
282614.2
582218.1
125911.5
Blue28
47879.8
270414.0
16759.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions804501001502004028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5822
#20
18.12.8
26.023.2
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End1.6
red by 4.1
2704
#23
14.01.8
16.614.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.9
End2.3
Second
14.22.8
24.321.4
Auto5.7
Teleop6.7
End1.8
red by 4.5
4787
#12
9.81.8
12.210.5
Auto6.3
Teleop1.3
End2.1
Third
1259
#26
11.52.8
17.314.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.6
End0.9
red by 2.0
1675
#11
9.61.8
16.014.2
Auto7.2
Teleop2.4
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed