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Red55
638115.3
870112.1
66436.4
Blue48
306127.4
35968.0
51487.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526401001502005548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6381
#22
15.30.6
18.918.3
Auto6.7
Teleop7.5
End1.0
blue by 12.2
3061
#21
27.41.1
35.834.7
Auto11.2
Teleop13.9
End2.3
Second
8701
#13
12.10.6
18.618.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.0
End0.7
red by 4.1
3596
#14
8.01.1
7.36.2
Auto4.2
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Third
6.40.6
9.99.3
Auto5.3
Teleop1.5
End-0.3
blue by 1.4
5148
#19
7.81.1
12.511.4
Auto4.3
Teleop1.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed