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Red71
146618.9
164027.8
162928.6
Blue64
426519.3
19539.4
15721.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89850501001502007164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.64.6
28.633.2
Auto12.4
Teleop16.1
End0.1
blue by 10.8
195
#1
39.43.6
39.435.9
Auto10.9
Teleop27.0
End1.5
Second
27.83.2
27.824.5
Auto9.4
Teleop16.6
End1.8
red by 6.4
157
#9
21.43.5
21.417.8
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End1.4
Third
1466
#12
18.90.4
18.919.4
Auto2.9
Teleop14.8
End1.2
blue by 0.3
4265
#21
19.31.7
19.321.0
Auto5.5
Teleop12.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed