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Red40
409917.1
350423.1
353821.1
Blue50
2742.5
901518.3
326023.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85872040601001201404050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3504
#11
23.12.6
23.320.8
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End0.4
blue by 19.5
27
#3
42.52.2
31.929.8
Auto13.8
Teleop25.8
End2.9
Second
21.12.6
28.826.2
Auto2.5
Teleop17.7
End0.9
blue by 2.7
23.82.2
23.121.0
Auto7.2
Teleop13.8
End2.8
Third
4099
#27
17.12.6
24.722.1
Auto4.5
Teleop12.3
End0.2
blue by 1.2
9015
#24
18.32.2
23.321.2
Auto7.3
Teleop11.2
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed50%Ensemble oddsMissed