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Red53
408517.3
947510.4
34615.6
Blue46
57409.6
345918.4
31926.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536801001505346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4085
#29
17.30.2
16.616.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.2
End0.1
blue by 9.0
319
#5
26.31.2
23.622.3
Auto5.8
Teleop20.6
End-0.1
Second
346
#14
15.60.2
22.622.3
Auto7.7
Teleop5.8
End2.1
blue by 2.8
3459
#15
18.41.2
20.219.0
Auto6.3
Teleop12.1
End-0.1
Third
9475
#19
10.40.2
10.210.0
Auto1.9
Teleop8.4
End0.1
red by 0.8
5740
#23
9.61.2
15.714.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed