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Red36
118811.7
581118.5
10868.1
Blue27
162928.6
446719.7
34927.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69800501001503627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5811
#13
18.52.0
26.924.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End0.5
blue by 10.1
28.62.9
33.230.2
Auto12.4
Teleop16.1
End0.1
Second
1188
#26
11.72.0
13.411.4
Auto1.3
Teleop9.4
End1.0
blue by 8.0
4467
#20
19.72.9
23.220.2
Auto4.8
Teleop14.1
End0.9
Third
1086
#28
8.12.0
23.421.5
Auto4.5
Teleop2.8
End0.8
red by 0.3
3492
#30
7.92.9
14.811.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed