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Red71
261418.2
15721.4
12225.4
Blue81
146618.9
832410.6
19539.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848550607080901001107181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#7
25.41.3
25.724.4
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End1.9
blue by 14.0
195
#1
39.40.2
35.935.7
Auto10.9
Teleop27.0
End1.5
Second
157
#9
21.41.3
17.816.6
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End1.4
red by 2.4
1466
#12
18.90.2
19.419.2
Auto2.9
Teleop14.8
End1.2
Third
2614
#18
18.21.3
34.733.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End3.8
red by 7.5
8324
#25
10.60.2
18.918.6
Auto5.8
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed