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Red41
960419.9
99916.8
92188.2
Blue51
999311.7
186022.7
999412.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33310204060801001204151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.9
17.518.4
Auto9.3
Teleop10.0
End0.6
blue by 2.8
22.71.0
20.821.9
Auto9.9
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Second
9218
#18
8.20.8
2.33.1
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.6
blue by 4.4
9994
#16
12.61.7
8.210.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
Third
9991
#23
6.81.3
5.56.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End0.6
blue by 4.9
11.71.7
6.38.0
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed