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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31350102040506070803118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5800
#14
9.61.2
13.412.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.6
blue by 3.4
9995
#19
13.01.9
7.75.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.4
Second
9990
#21
7.41.9
3.51.6
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End0.5
blue by 2.4
9110
#22
9.81.3
9.17.8
Auto6.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Third
9997
#17
6.51.9
6.64.7
Auto1.8
Teleop3.7
End1.0
red by 1.3
6902
#15
5.21.1
8.47.2
Auto0.6
Teleop3.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed