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Red56
703314.4
960214.1
916921.1
Blue35
888217.2
960419.9
916816.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4259020801001201405635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.11.0
18.319.3
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End0.3
red by 1.2
19.91.3
18.417.1
Auto9.3
Teleop10.0
End0.6
Second
14.40.9
8.39.2
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 2.8
8882
#10
17.21.3
16.114.8
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End0.4
Third
9602
#13
14.10.9
13.514.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End0.8
blue by 1.9
16.01.3
18.216.8
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed