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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12320204060801001201404128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9996
#20
9.20.0
5.65.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 4.8
9602
#13
14.10.6
14.113.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Second
9218
#18
8.20.0
0.60.7
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.6
blue by 4.4
9994
#16
12.61.0
5.64.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
Third
6902
#15
5.20.0
8.68.6
Auto0.6
Teleop3.2
End1.5
blue by 2.2
9990
#21
7.41.0
5.64.6
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned