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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88360501001507627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.2
37.437.5
Auto16.4
Teleop24.4
End1.9
red by 25.5
8882
#10
17.20.5
16.716.2
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End0.4
Second
9603
#11
17.80.3
17.818.0
Auto8.6
Teleop8.6
End0.6
red by 8.0
9110
#22
9.80.8
10.09.3
Auto6.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Third
16.00.3
18.018.3
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End0.9
red by 9.2
9991
#23
6.80.8
5.64.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed