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Red55
186022.7
999212.0
921921.2
Blue29
58009.6
960419.9
905013.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4156020801001205529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.0
21.522.6
Auto9.9
Teleop11.9
End0.9
red by 2.8
19.91.9
18.816.9
Auto9.3
Teleop10.0
End0.6
Second
21.21.5
12.413.9
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End0.7
red by 7.3
9050
#12
13.91.9
15.313.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Third
12.01.7
5.67.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 2.4
5800
#14
9.61.3
15.113.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed