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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions562902040801001205835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.7
17.718.4
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End0.3
red by 3.3
9603
#11
17.80.3
18.018.4
Auto8.6
Teleop8.6
End0.6
Second
16.00.6
18.318.9
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End0.9
red by 4.3
11.70.4
6.57.0
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End0.7
Third
9991
#23
6.80.8
4.85.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End0.6
blue by 0.6
9990
#21
7.40.4
4.65.0
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed