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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274502060801001202647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9050
#12
13.90.4
13.312.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 6.0
19.90.5
16.917.4
Auto9.3
Teleop10.0
End0.6
Second
9996
#20
9.20.5
5.75.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 4.8
9602
#13
14.10.4
13.413.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Third
9997
#17
6.50.5
6.86.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.7
End1.0
red by 1.3
6902
#15
5.20.4
8.69.0
Auto0.6
Teleop3.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed