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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8552040601001201401607131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.0
37.537.5
Auto16.4
Teleop24.4
End1.9
red by 28.3
14.41.2
10.111.3
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Second
8882
#10
17.20.0
16.216.2
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End0.4
red by 4.6
9994
#16
12.61.5
4.66.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
Third
5800
#14
9.60.0
13.713.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.6
red by 1.4
9218
#18
8.21.2
0.71.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed