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Red35
186022.7
999513.0
905013.9
Blue43
999212.0
91109.8
916921.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5935020801001203543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.6
22.621.9
Auto9.9
Teleop11.9
End0.9
red by 1.6
21.10.7
18.419.1
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End0.3
Second
9050
#12
13.90.8
12.912.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
red by 1.9
12.00.9
7.38.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Third
9995
#19
13.01.0
6.85.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.4
red by 3.2
9110
#22
9.80.8
9.310.0
Auto6.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed