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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14500204060801001201370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9110
#22
9.80.2
7.87.6
Auto6.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7
blue by 11.4
21.21.4
15.416.8
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End0.7
Second
9218
#18
8.20.2
3.12.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.6
blue by 11.7
19.91.2
17.118.3
Auto9.3
Teleop10.0
End0.6
Third
9997
#17
6.50.3
4.74.4
Auto1.8
Teleop3.7
End1.0
blue by 7.9
14.41.2
9.210.5
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed