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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71310204060801001201406526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.8
39.440.3
Auto16.4
Teleop24.4
End1.9
red by 24.9
9603
#11
17.80.3
18.618.3
Auto8.6
Teleop8.6
End0.6
Second
9995
#19
13.01.3
5.87.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.4
red by 3.8
9996
#20
9.20.4
4.54.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Third
12.01.3
7.79.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 5.2
9991
#23
6.80.4
6.86.4
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed