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Red37
999311.7
58009.6
921921.2
Blue33
905013.9
999412.6
960214.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3636333435373839403733

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.3
16.816.4
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End0.7
red by 7.1
9602
#13
14.10.2
14.514.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Second
11.70.6
9.28.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End0.7
blue by 2.3
9050
#12
13.90.2
12.312.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Third
5800
#14
9.60.3
12.211.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.6
blue by 3.0
9994
#16
12.60.4
10.09.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed