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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions702104060801001201408433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.71.6
40.341.9
Auto16.4
Teleop24.4
End1.9
red by 30.1
9994
#16
12.60.4
9.610.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
Second
21.21.6
16.418.0
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End0.7
red by 9.2
12.00.4
9.09.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Third
9218
#18
8.21.6
2.94.5
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.6
red by 1.4
9991
#23
6.80.4
6.46.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed