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Red59
99976.5
916816.0
186022.7
Blue48
960317.8
960419.9
91109.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52480204060801001205948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.5
22.622.1
Auto9.9
Teleop11.9
End0.9
red by 2.8
19.90.4
18.317.9
Auto9.3
Teleop10.0
End0.6
Second
16.00.5
17.517.0
Auto6.8
Teleop8.3
End0.9
blue by 1.8
9603
#11
17.80.4
18.317.9
Auto8.6
Teleop8.6
End0.6
Third
9997
#17
6.50.8
4.43.5
Auto1.8
Teleop3.7
End1.0
blue by 3.3
9110
#22
9.80.4
7.67.2
Auto6.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed